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Protests in Cairo
Research for Online Investors

by John Dalt

1/28/11

Egypt is in turmoil.  You have probably seen snippets on the news.  It looks like the Middle East will dominate the news this weekend.  The events seem to be spiraling out of the government’s control.  Hosni Mubarak has been the President of Egypt for almost thirty years.  He came to power after Anwar Sadat was assassinated by Army Officers in 1981.  Sadat had signed the Egypt-Israeli Peace Treaty.

President Mubarak is 82 years old and was planning to hand off control of the government to his younger son, Gamal.  Gamal and his family fled to Britain on Wednesday.

Protesters in Cairo, Egypt

The protests in Cairo, Egypt started on Tuesday over rising food and fuel prices.  Add in high unemployment that leaves young people with time on their hands and you have a situation that can explode.  The protesters want government reforms.  Mubarak’s government is seen as corrupt, ignoring the needs of the population. Reuters reports that 870 people were injured and five protesters killed yesterday in Egypt.  The government cut communications and internet service yesterday.

The Egyptian government ordered a curfew from 6 p.m. to 7 a.m. for Cairo, where the protests are centered.  The public is ignoring the order.  The government has called out army troops to augment the police to control the crowds.  There are reports of the army being friendly with the protesters.  Is this a bid to project soft power and lower the anger so people with leave the streets?  It could also be an indication that the government has lost the support of the military.  Late reports are that army troops may be fighting with police that are cracking down on the protesters.

There is no indication of outside influence in the protests at this time.  Iran and Al Qaeda may try to capitalize on the unrest.  Watch for the Muslim Brotherhood to make a move to subvert the protest movement.  Imagine the irony of protests to end corruption ushering into power a repressive middle-ages regime.

The Tiananmen Square events in China that ended with the massacre in June of 1989 began in part because of inflation and high student unemployment.  We only bring this up to add a dimension to the unrest in Cairo you need.  The inflation our Federal Reserve so desperately is trying to build in the U.S. is being exported to other countries.  It will eventually come home.

Is it any wonder that Chinese leaders have intervened aggressively in the financial markets to stop inflation in that economy?  Syria cut off internet service today to slow communication with Egypt, their neighbor to the West.

We are busy in the market today, as the unrest in Egypt is causing turmoil in the stock market.  Crude oil, gold, silver, and copper had all been on a slide recently.  All but copper are up strongly today.  We will watch the news closely this weekend and be back next week with information you can use.

Quote:
The strongest reason for the people to retain the right to keep and bear arms is, as a last resort, to protect themselves against tyranny in government.---Thomas Jefferson

Editor’s note:  Or their neighbors!

The information presented in this newsletter is based on generally available news releases, corporate filings, current events, interviews and the editor’s opinions.  It may contain errors and you should not make investment decisions based solely on what you believe you have read here.  Do your own research, it is your money.  If you lose it, it is your responsibility, not ours or your grandmothers!  The editor may or may not have a position in any securities discussed.  The editor may have held a position in a security earlier, or in the future.

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